US, Allies Claim China Recruiting Western Fighter Pilots

Above: The aerobatic demonstration team of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) Chinese Air Force performs during an aerial display at the Langkawi International Maritime and Aerospace Exhibition on May 23, 2023. Image copyright: Annice Lyn/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

As Beijing prepares for a likely attempt to take over Taiwan, its People's Liberation Army has ramped up efforts to address a lack of pilot proficiency and technical capabilities. Western-trained service members must be aware that if they teach Chinese personnel, they are putting national security at risk — and likely violating the law.

Establishment-critical narrative

It's very hypocritical of the Five Eyes to urge aviators not to train Chinese pilots now that Western nations have decided to turn China into an adversary. Pilot training schools, with international customers, have operated in these five countries — as well as in many others in the West — for years.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 10% chance that there will be a US-China war before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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