Chinese Astronauts Return to Earth

Image copyright: Emily McGarvey BBC

The Spin

Pro-China narrative

With the completion of Tiangong, Beijing's space program is now an equal player with the US, Russia, and Europe. In terms of scientific and commercial aspects, the addition of new players will only have a positive impact, given that competition inevitably speeds up innovation. This is a win for everyone.

Anti-China narrative

The more China prioritizes space, the more of a problem it becomes for US national security. Beijing's recent significant advances in space technology are alarming to the US and its allies because whoever leads in space sets the rules. Besides, China has teamed up with Russia for a slate of space missions and initiatives. This must be monitored.

Metaculus Prediction


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