Jury Begins Deliberation in Oath Keepers Trial

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

This trial is a major test of the DOJ's belief that far-right extremists plotted against the peaceful transfer of power. If the jury sides with the prosecution, then the DOJ can strongly dispel claims that the riot wasn't as bad as the federal government has consistently argued.

Establishment-critical narrative

The government has unsurprisingly painted a completely distorted picture of events. If heated, hyperbolic rhetoric amounted to sedition, most of modern America would find themselves charged. Discourse surrounding revolution is deep-rooted in the country's history and culture, and cherry-picking such sentences to claim that a major conspiracy was afoot shouldn't be taken seriously.

Metaculus Prediction


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