Japan: N. Korea Launches Suspected ICBM Capable of Reaching US

Image copyright: Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service/AP/FILE [via CNN]

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

When Washington was truly committed to de-escalating tensions with North Korea, Pyongyang responded positively, halting missile tests and demolishing several testing sites. This changed when the US began to increase its military presence in the Asia-Pacific, posing an existential threat to the DPRK. Carrying out provocative drills will only escalate tensions.

Pro-establishment narrative

Seoul and Washington have demonstrated goodwill toward Pyongyang in the hopes of creating an environment conducive to disarmament talks for four years. However, as North Korea has failed to make good on its promises — resuming its missile tests and further developing its nuclear program — a posture shift is necessary for the South and its allies to prepare for an attack from the North.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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