Super Typhoon Noru Sweeps Across Philippines

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The Spin

Narrative A

The rapid intensification of this super typhoon was extraordinary. The potential role of climate change on these turbo-charged storms has particular relevance for the Philippines. Battling about 20 named storms each year, this Asia-Pacific nation is struggling to protect its communities in a warming world.

Narrative B

It's easy to dismiss any extreme weather event as a consequence of climate change, but in reality, these tragedies are usually influenced by a myriad of factors that have little to nothing to do with it. More research is needed before we can establish any direct causal link between any specific storm and climate change.

Metaculus Prediction


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