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Chile Detects Its First Case of Bird Flu in Humans

  • #COVID-19
  • #Medicine & healthcare
  • #Diseases & conditions
  • #Vaccination
  • #Influenza
  • #Cambodia
  • #Chile
  • #Coal
  • #Ireland
  • #Indonesia
  • #Peru
  • #Cuba
  • #Spain
  • #Argentina
story
MAR 2023
Image copyright: Reuters
story last updated MAR 2023

The Spin

Narrative A

The potential for a pandemic of H5N1 is a big worry, and scientists suggest we need to do more to prepare for a possible outbreak. If there was an outbreak in Europe or the US tomorrow, we wouldn't be able to vaccinate the world during 2023 based on the current production process. Current seasonal flu vaccines are not effective against bird flu, but it does appear that the antiviral drug Tamiflu is effective against it in people. It's time to begin responsibly planning for this contingency and ramping up vaccine production.

World Economic Forum

Narrative B

While H5N1 has been rampaging wild bird and domestic poultry populations worldwide, it's not time to worry about a human pandemic yet. Most likely the virus would need to make some evolutionary steps to achieve this — like spreading to intermediate host mammals and being able to sustain human-to-human transmission. It's prudent to be aware, but there's no cause for alarm yet.

MIT Technology Review

Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story

Vaccine makers preparing human bird flu shot ‘just in case’ of pandemic
IndependentJUL 2023
Vaccine makers like Moderna say they're 'standing ready' for human bird flu pandemic
Daily MailJUL 2023