GOP Freedom Caucus Mulls Ousting Speaker McCarthy Over Debt Deal

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The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

While the US may yet avoid a default, both Democrats and Republicans have driven the country to the brink of a financial catastrophe, with untold repercussions yet to come, such as the effects of this mismanagement on the nation's reputation. This deal is a complete disaster that puts The US' embarrassing division front and center on the global stage.

Pro-establishment narrative

Though the new debt deal is far from the original House bill, Speaker McCarthy and the Biden admin. successfully banded together to advance GOP priorities in exchange for increasing the debt limit that had to be raised anyway. It would be nonsensical for Republicans to abandon their victories in this deal.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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