Islamic State Group Confirms Leader's Death

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The Spin

Narrative A

While it no longer controls vast areas of Iraq and Syria, IS remains a threat and continues terrorizing volatile parts of the Middle East. The group still plans to free significant numbers of its troops from Syrian prisons. The danger it poses shouldn't be underestimated.

Narrative B

Today, IS has few fighters across Iraq and Syria and cannot mount large-scale attacks in either country. Instead, its threat is overshadowed by that of its franchise affiliates in Afghanistan and parts of Africa. Refocusing on the new threat area is needed.


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