N. Korea Fires Missiles After US Submarines Arrive in South

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The deployment of a nuclear submarine in the Korean theater is part of the "Washington Declaration," which aims to deter the North from attacking its neighbors. Over the last several months, there's been increased anxiety over Pyongyang's ballistic missile tests, and, as a result, the US and South Korea have taken measures to deter further acts of aggression. The US and South Korea must do whatever they can to ensure regional stability.

Establishment-critical narrative

There's widespread criticism of the US deployment of a nuclear submarine in South Korea. The deployment threatens to make the region more dangerous, as it provides a means for the US to retaliate against the North if it launches a nuclear attack on the South. It would do no good for either country to strike back against the other as this would only result in an escalation. The deployments are a senseless provocation.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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