New Poll Shows Trump Leading Biden Among Voters Under 30

Image copyright: The White House [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Spin

Republican narrative

Young Americans are finally waking up to the fact that the Democratic party has failed them, and they are flocking to Trump in shocking numbers. Biden clearly lacks the cognitive ability to serve as president, and his policies are making Americans poorer and less safe. Young people, like most other Americans, recognize that the country was doing better under Trump, and the numbers reflect that reality.

Democratic narrative

Despite differing reports from a rogue poll or two, the truth is that Trump and his “MAGA movement” remain extremely unpopular with young people, and he will have a hard time winning them over in the 2024 election. Trump was beaten by wide margins among voters under 30 in previous elections, and that is unlikely to change, as young voters are historically more progressive and diverse than their older counterparts.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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