Philippines, US Launch Largest-Ever Joint Military Drills

Image copyright: AFP/Getty Images [via Financial Times]

The Spin

Anti-China narrative

The largest US-Philippine military drills to date and the agreement to grant the US military access to four new military bases are the direct results of the Chinese regime's hegemonic posture. Beijing's increasingly assertive behavior has led to the Philippines gradually emerging as a major hub of military cooperation among Southeast Asian democracies. Washington benefits strategically from this trend while tensions continue to rise — this is China's own doing.

Pro-China narrative

The US is deliberately fomenting regional turmoil and division, and by making itself a tool for Washington's strategic interests in the South China Sea and the wider Indo-Pacific region, the Philippines is jeopardizing its own interests. Instead of holding ever-larger military exercises with the US and giving them access to more military bases, Manila should turn to its Southeast Asian neighbors and work with China and fellow ASEAN countries on stability and security in the region.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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