Report: Biden Won't Attend COP28 Meeting in Dubai

Report: Biden Won't Attend COP28 Meeting in Dubai
Image copyright: Win McNamee/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin


Establishment-critical narrative

With the US being the largest producer of oil in the world, the decision for Biden not to attend what may be COP's most important conference is a serious blow to climate discussions. It's more urgent than ever for global leaders to come together, and yet multiple nations continue to refrain from confirming the attendance of major political figures. Without the presence of Biden, Xi Jinping, and many others, the likelihood of meaningful international agreements being achieved at the summit decreases substantially.


Pro-establishment narrative

It is not solely up to national politicians to protect our environment — business leaders, regional figures, and non-state stakeholders will be integral in influencing cross-border consensus. It is also inevitable that COP28 will see the benefit of the resumption of "soft relations" between the US and China. The UAE is set to convene one of the most inclusive conferences yet, with the potential to create decisive change for the world's future — Biden's absence is not a critical path to major success.


Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Establishment split

CRITICAL

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