START Treaty: US Stops Sharing Nuclear Arms Data With Russia

Image copyright: Reuters

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Moscow's threat to suspend the New Start Treaty is a violation of numerous provisions of the agreement, as well as an attempt to divide American opinion over the war in Ukraine by raising the specter of nuclear Armageddon. The US must stay firm with the Russians and encourage them to return to compliance with the treaty.

Establishment-critical narrative

Russia has suspended its participation in the New Start Treaty but remains committed to the principle that a nuclear war is unacceptable. Before returning to the discussion of compliance with the treaty, however, Russia wants to understand how the arsenals of not only the US but also other NATO nuclear weapons powers — i.e. the UK and France — will be accounted for by it.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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