Arizona Senator Sinema Won't Seek Reelection

Arizona Senator Sinema Won't Seek Reelection
Image copyright: Kevin Dietsch/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Republican narrative

Sinema has decided to leave the Senate because the Democratic Party has veered too far left, and even as an independent she would have had a difficult time fundraising and garnering votes in a three-way race. With Gallego carrying Biden's failed policies like an albatross, the door is now wide open for Lake to bring Republican sanity — and possibly a Republican majority — to the Senate.

Democratic narrative

Sinema may claim she's been forced to resign by extremism, but she's actually lost popularity because her brand of bipartisanship creates bad policy. Perhaps her lasting legacy will be paving the way for a rock-solid Democrat in Gallego to take the baton from her and carry it into the Senate to preserve Democrats' majority and fight for progressive policies.

Metaculus Prediction


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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