Australia Pledges Hundreds of Millions to ASEAN Countries

Australia Pledges Hundreds of Millions to ASEAN Countries
Image copyright: Asanka Ratnayake/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-China narrative

While China's threat to the region has only grown, the military capacity of ASEAN has remained small — particularly due to its previous reliance on Moscow for weapons and the effects of the war in Ukraine. The solution, therefore, is for member states to not only work to bolster their domestic weapons manufacturing but also establish new partnerships. Australia is making the right step here to help strengthen deterrence.

Pro-China narrative

Because Washington isn't funding its Southeast Asian allies like it used to, trying to force them to not only side with it but also fit the bill for its geopolitical feud with Beijing instead. Countries like Malaysia have seen right through this and opted to remain neutral. Given that China will continue to invest more in the region, these nations have an easy choice between Beijing's economic offers and America's proposal of instigating conflict.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

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