Ecuador: 60-Day Emergency Declared Over Drought, Wildfires

Ecuador: 60-Day Emergency Declared Over Drought, Wildfires
Above: Aerial view of a bush fire on a hill in Quito on Sept. 24, 2024. Image copyright: GALO PAGUAY/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Facts

  • On Monday, Ecuador declared a 60-day national emergency amid intensifying wildfires and an acute drought. Energy Minister Ines Manzano reported 17 active fires and five fires under control, with the southern Azuay and Loja provinces being the hardest hit.

  • Risk Management Secretary Jorge Carrillo said Ecuador has suffered the effects of the "great" drought for "almost 120 days." Over 5.1K fires were reported in the country from January to November, killing six people.


The Spin

Narrative A

Ecuador's plight is a harrowing preview of a global future shaped by unchecked climate change. Once celebrated for its biodiversity and abundant hydropower, Ecuador now endures a water crisis that has crippled livelihoods and ecosystems. This interconnected catastrophe, driven by human inaction and industrialized nations' emissions, isn't Ecuador's alone. It's a stark reminder — as the planet warms, fragile systems everywhere will buckle, and the human costs will be devastating.

Narrative B

Ecuador's current crisis reveals a tale not solely of climate change but of profound mismanagement. While the drought cripples hydroelectric output, decades of neglect, and short-sighted policies have magnified the fallout. Politicians rested on fleeting hydropower gains, ignoring calls to diversify energy sources and repair neglected thermoelectric plants. This saga underscores environmental unpredictability and human-made vulnerabilities, deepening Ecuador's woes.


Metaculus Prediction



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