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Election Model: Harris, Trump in 'Dead Heat' Ahead of Debate

  • #Politics
  • #United States of America
  • #Electoral systems
Election Model: Harris, Trump in 'Dead Heat' Ahead of Debate
story
+1
SEP 2024
Above: The National Constitution Center, Philadelphia. Image copyright: Gilbert Carrasquillo/Contributor/Getty Images Entertainment via Getty Images
story last updated SEP 2024

The Spin

Democratic narrative

Kamala Harris has a golden chance to crush Trump at their upcoming face-off and keep her momentum, as long as she avoids falling for his bait and stays focused on her middle-class agenda. There's no doubt that the ABC debate will be key to the presidential race — and Harris holds the best cards.

US News & World Report

Republican narrative

Since Donald Trump is famous for his debate skills and people have long decided about him, the pressure will be on Harris on Tuesday. After all, debating a former president may be too challenging for the Democratic candidate, especially as she also has the Biden administration's poor record against her.

FOX News

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures

Kamala Harris

Donald Trump

Nate Silver

Allan Lichtman


The Controversies


KAMALA HARRISDONALD TRUMP
Status:Resolved
Who Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Controversy
SEP 7 2024SEP 7 2024

Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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NBCAUG 2024
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NBCAUG 2024
ABC News Releases Rules For Trump-Harris Debate; Team Kamala Claims She’s ‘Disadvantaged’ By Format
Daily WireAUG 2024
Trump and Harris Swarm Pennsylvania, a Must-Win Battleground State: Election Live Updates
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How Trump, or Kamala, could win, as all sides zero in on the debate
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Trump and Harris’s first presidential debate is Tuesday. Here’s what to know.
Washington PostAUG 2024
Harris campaign agrees to ABC presidential debate rules with some 'assurances:' report
FOX NewsAUG 2024
Will Harris or Trump Win Pennsylvania? 12 Swing-State Voters Discuss. - The New York Times
New York TimesAUG 2024
Fox News Crowd Cheers Donald Trump's ABC Roasting
NewsweekAUG 2024
How to Watch the First Harris-Trump Debate
New York TimesAUG 2024
Gold Star Families Reveal Shock at Kamala Harris' Arlington Remarks
NewsweekAUG 2024
Trump, Harris agree on debate rules after dispute over muted microphones
Al JazeeraAUG 2024
Joe Scarborough Warns Democrats Should Not Get Too Confident About Winning Swing States
Daily CallerAUG 2024
Putin Claims Support for Kamala Harris, Jokes About 'Infectious Laugh'
NewsweekAUG 2024
Opinion | Kamala Harris’s Toughest Opponent on Debate Night Is Joe Biden
New York TimesAUG 2024
After bitter GOP primary in this deep-red Virginia district, more anger
Washington PostAUG 2024
Trump Calls for an Efficiency Commission, an Idea Pushed by Elon Musk
New York TimesAUG 2024
Trump would make the US economy weaker, less competitive and less equal | Joseph Stiglitz
GuardianAUG 2024
Millions Could Miss Trump, Harris Debate As ABC Feuds With Major TV Provider
Daily CallerAUG 2024
What She’s Really Like—The Harris Mystery Solved
American ThinkerAUG 2024
Kamala Harris accepts muted mic rule in upcoming debate with Donald Trump after initial pushback
New York PostAUG 2024
Trump claims to have the endorsement of Tim Walz’s estranged brother: ‘Honored’
New York PostAUG 2024
How ABC's Presidential Debate Will Work as Harris Campaign Accepts Rules
NewsweekAUG 2024
Donald Trump to announce 'complete audit of the federal government' with sweeping plans inspired by Elon Musk
Daily MailAUG 2024
Why is Kamala Harris campaigning in New Hampshire in the final stretch of the 2024 race?
Daily MailAUG 2024
Trump says Elon Musk has agreed to lead proposed government efficiency commission as ex-president unveils new economic plans
CNNAUG 2024
Trump’s expected new economic plans to include a government efficiency commission first proposed by Elon Musk, source says
CNNAUG 2024
Harris’ attempt to separate herself from Biden on the economy frustrates Trump
CNNAUG 2024
Trump To Unveil Bold Economic Plan To ‘Make America Affordable Again’
BreitbartAUG 2024
Excuse Me? ABC News May Change Rules of Debate to Help Kamala Harris
PJ MediaAUG 2024
Politico Gets Kamala’s New Hampshire Visit All Wrong
PJ MediaAUG 2024

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