Hungary's Orbán Makes Surprise Visit to China

Hungary's Orbán Makes Surprise Visit to China
Image copyright: Andrea Verdelli/Pool/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán arrived in Beijing on Monday and met with Chinese Pres. Xi Jinping, three days after meeting Russian Pres. Vladimir Putin in Moscow.

  • In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Orbán called his visit — which comes a day before a three-day NATO summit starts in Washington — "Peace mission 3.0."

  • He called the PRC "an important stabilising force." However, the West has rejected China's "political settlement" to end the Russia-Ukraine for being pro-Moscow.

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

Orbán's outreach to China and Russia over Ukraine is a smart move. This "shuttle diplomacy" reflects a pragmatic approach in contrast with the West's confrontational stance. Orban's efforts align with Xi's call for a political settlement that may foster a less antagonistic approach to world conflicts within the context of Xi and Putin's efforts to forge a more harmonious multipolar world order.

Pro-establishment narrative

Orbán has no role or right in mediating over the Ukraine war. This so-called "shuttle diplomacy" is undermined by Hungary's policy towards Ukraine, which includes making unreasonable demands regarding Hungarian minorities. His actions serve as a "Trojan horse" for Russia within the EU and NATO. This is a cynical undermining of a rules-based order that seeks to end Russian aggression against Ukraine.

Metaculus Prediction




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Establishment split

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