Controversy
Joe Biden
Liz Truss
Vladimir Putin
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Kamala Harris
Emmanuel Macron
Victoria Nuland
Dmitry Peskov
Fiona Hill
Jens Stoltenberg
Maria Zakharova
The Institute for the Study of War
+7
Status:Resolved

Will Russia Invade Ukraine?

Resolution:

Yes.

Resolved on Feb 24, 2022

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Liz Truss
Liz Truss"[A]n invasion could be imminent, and it is highly likely."Feb 15, 2022
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Volodymyr Zelenskyy"Right now, the people's biggest enemy is panic in our country [Ukraine]."Feb 12, 2022
Victoria Nuland
Victoria NulandRussia is looking for "an excuse to go in."Jan 15, 2022
Jens Stoltenberg
Jens Stoltenberg"There is a risk for a full-fledged invasion."Feb 12, 2022
Fiona Hill
Fiona Hill"One way or another, [Putin] wants Ukraine neutralized."Nov 26, 2021
Joe Biden
Joe Biden"As of this moment I'm convinced he's made the decision" and an assault could occur in the "coming days."Feb 19, 2022
J.D. Vance
J.D. VanceI "remain opposed to virtually any proposal for the United States to continue funding this war."Apr 12, 2024
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance"[Ukraine] needs more matériel than the United States can provide."Jul 22, 2024
J.D. Vance
J.D. VanceUS involvement in Ukraine had "no obvious conclusion or even objective that we're close to getting accomplished".Jul 16, 2024
The Institute for the Study of War
The Institute for the Study of War"Russia may launch an attack on Ukraine on Saturday, February 19, 2022."Feb 18, 2022
Emmanuel Macron
Emmanuel Macron"The geopolitical objective of Russia today is clearly not Ukraine."Feb 07, 2022
Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris"We are talking about the real possibility of war in Europe."Feb 20, 2022
Maria Zakharova
Maria Zakharova"We [Russians] learn from US newspapers that we will attack Ukraine."Feb 09, 2022
Vladimir Putin
Vladimir Putin"These military exercises, drills, are purely defensive and are not a threat to any other country."Feb 18, 2022
Dmitry Peskov
Dmitry Peskov"Russia has never hatched, is not hatching and will never hatch any plans to attack anyone."Nov 30, 2021
Donald Trump
Donald Trump"I will have that war settled between [Russian President Putin] and [Ukrainian President Volodymyr] Zelensky."Jul 16, 2024
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance"There's still this fundamental inability to deal with the limits of American power in the 21st century."Jul 16, 2024
J.D. Vance
J.D. VanceSupplemental US aid to Ukraine "is not going to fundamentally change the reality on the battlefield."Jul 22, 2024
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance"There is frankly no good reason that aid from the U.S. should be needed."Jul 18, 2024


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