Iran Launches Ballistic Missiles at Israel

Iran Launches Ballistic Missiles at Israel
Above: Iranian missiles are launched into Israel, as seen in the sky over the Jordanian capital, on Oct. 1, 2024 in Amman, Jordan. Image copyright: Jordan Pix/Contributor/Getty Images Europe via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Iran's attack on Israel was an unprecedented escalation that will only make it harder to secure peace in the region. The US successfully worked with Israel and other allies to limit the attack's destruction. There will be consequences for attacking an American ally.

Pro-Israel narrative

Iran's attack against Israel was a declaration of war. For almost a year, Israel has been under constant attack from Iran and its proxies. It has remained patient, but now things have changed. Though a direct response may not be immediate, Israel will have to hit Iran hard to deter any further aggression.

Pro-Iran narrative

Iran simply cannot stand idly by while Israel commits genocide in Gaza and prepares to do the same in Lebanon. This successful attack was precise and targeted Israeli military installations. Indeed, Israel should think wisely about its next moves and not escalate the situation any further.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Go Deeper


Establishment split

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