Israel Strikes Lebanon as Hezbollah Fires Rockets

Israel Strikes Lebanon as Hezbollah Fires Rockets
Above: An Israeli artillery piece fires towards southern Lebanon on Aug. 12, 2006. Image copyright: John Moore/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Israel narrative

This war is based on the right of existence of Jewish people and the state of Israel. The IDF operated in self-defense from Hezbollah as it was planning to attack Israeli civilians. While the country doesn't seek a full-scale war, it will do everything to protect its people and territory. Israel's war in Gaza will continue until Hamas is rooted out of the coastal territory.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Israel has tried to build a narrative that its war against Hamas is based on its right to self-defense. However, Israel doesn't have the right to use force on territory on which the Palestinians are entitled to exercise their right of self-determination. It's not Hezbollah's military targets on an aggressor, but Israel's indiscriminate attacks on civilians that risk drawing the whole region into a full-blown war.

Narrative C

This dangerous conflict is threatening to expand and spiral out of control. While Hezbollah's ongoing aggression risks dragging the people of Lebanon into a broader escalation, any significant escalation in the fighting could morph into a regional conflagration drawing Hezbollah's backer, Iran, and Israel's ally, the US. The international community must end the bloodshed in Gaza immediately.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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