Morning Consult Poll: Harris Leads Trump 51%-45%

Morning Consult Poll: Harris Leads Trump 51%-45%
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The Spin


Democratic narrative

Most Americans disagree with Trump when he says he won the debate, and now we know most disagree with the idea of voting for him in November. This poll follows the trend of others showing that Harris has the lead or is neck-in-neck. Harris' momentum is real.

Republican narrative

There's no post-debate momentum. The data shows few people were moved by the debate regardless of who would-be voters believed won. Polling shows razor-thin margins in the seven battleground states that will determine the winner, and that's what matters.


Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies


© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.0.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.0.0