Netanyahu Disbands Israeli War Cabinet

Netanyahu Disbands Israeli War Cabinet
Above: Prime Minister of the State of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu takes the stage during the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) at the United Nations headquarters on September 22, 2023 in New York City. Image copyright: Michael M. Santiago/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

A guaranteed end to the war will ensure increased humanitarian aid to the besieged enclave, preserve Israel's security, and create a better "day after" in Gaza without Hamas in power. It will also de-escalate the situation on the Lebanese border. It is unfortunate that Hamas did not respond with a resounding "yes" to Israel's thoughtful proposal, but the US will continue to work toward closing the gaps.

Pro-Israel narrative

Netanyahu is clearly making sure that his more audacious allies do not play a serious role in the decision-making regarding this existential war with terror. Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich are quickly becoming liabilities as their public statements are drawing international condemnation. Notably, neither of the ministers has any control over the war, and it must stay that way.

Pro-Palestine narrative

It should be clear after almost eight months of grinding brutality that Israel's true goal is to destroy Gaza and starve its people. Israel is simply not interested in committing to a permanent cease-fire, regardless of who is in power. This war must end, and Israel must finally be held accountable for its crimes.

Narrative D

Hezbollah and the regional resistance will only end their attacks when Israel's war in Gaza ends and it withdraws its forces. Indeed, the resistance's primary goal is to end the war in Gaza, not start a far larger regional war. Foreign powers believe they can dictate to Hezbollah how it deals with Israel's aggression and impose concessions regarding the status of Lebanon's southern border. However, Hezbollah has many options at its disposal, and it is prepared to defend Lebanon from Israel's genocidal aggression.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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