Report: Russia Nears Deal with New Syrian Leadership over Military Bases

Report: Russia Nears Deal with New Syrian Leadership over Military Bases
Above: A Russian Sukhoi Su-24 attack aircraft lands at the Russian military base of Hmeimim, located southeast of the city of Latakia in Hmeimim, Syria, on Sept. 26, 2019. Image copyright: Mixime Popov/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

Russian diplomats have established contact with representatives of Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham and are engaging with them on a number of issues to protect Russian interests in the region.

Pro-establishment narrative

After initially branding them terrorists, Russia now realizes it will have to negotiate with Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham if they're to keep their bases. They're likely to offer them a number of resources such as money and oil and gas, but it's not clear whether they will be successful.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


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