Republicans Retain House Majority

Republicans Retain House Majority
Above: Speaker of the House Mike Johnson welcomes Pres.-elect Donald Trump onstage at a House Republicans Conference meeting at the Hyatt Regency on Capitol Hill on Nov. 13, 2024, in Washington, DC. Image copyright: Andrew Harnik/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Republican narrative

After failing Trump the first time they controlled Congress after the 2016 election, Republicans have a second chance to enact the legislation that Trump and his supporters have been asking for. With Trump backing Speaker Johnson in the House and the Senate setting up their leadership, it's time to draft America First laws and have them waiting for the next president in January.

Democratic narrative

Despite GOP control of Congress, Trump will likely face legislative challenges due to several factors. Senate Majority Leader Thune's commitment to maintaining the filibuster grants Democrats veto power, complicating Trump's agenda. Additionally, Speaker Johnson's slim House majority and intra-party divisions mean Trump can only guarantee partial support, limiting his ambitions.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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