SCOTUS Hears Arguments Over Jan. 6 Prosecutions

Image copyright: Duncan Lock via Wikimedia Commons

The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

The government's argument began to fall apart the second Prelogar faced questions from the justices. While she claims the obstruction statute applies to Jan. 6 protesters, she then admitted that it wouldn't apply to a myriad of similar protest scenarios. The holes in Prelogar's arguments will likely haunt the Dept. of Justice as the court considers its ruling.

Democratic narrative

The irony of "tough-on-crime" Republicans defending violent insurrectionists is on full display. The obstruction provision was clearly written to prohibit criminals from blocking government proceedings — Joseph Fischer is on the record saying that he would and then physically attempting to do so. This case is cut and dry, and Republicans should support it if they're true to their principles.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Political split

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