South Korea: Police Raid Presidential Office, Ex-Minister Attempts Suicide

South Korea: Police Raid Presidential Office, Ex-Minister Attempts Suicide
Above: Soldiers try to enter the National Assembly building in Seoul on Dec. 4 2024, after South Korea Pres. Yoon Suk Yeol declared martial law. Image copyright: UNG YEON-JE/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin


Narrative A

Yoon's poorly timed decree was an illegal power grab and attempted coup that warrants criminal prosecution. With a long history of military-authoritarian rule, the country can't afford leadership mired in uncertainty. The depths of his political miscalculation have tested the resilience of South Korea's democracy and underscored the need for Yoon to relinquish his post and face the law for the greater good of the country.


Narrative B

The martial law declaration was necessary to protect South Korea from North Korean threats and maintain domestic stability. However, Yoon didn't wrest absolute authority by whatever means necessary; instead, he quickly rescinded the decree when it became clear it lacked public support. The country would be plunged into greater uncertainty if a patriot — who can defend himself before the Constitutional Court and is committed to the unification of the Korean peninsula — is impeached.


Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!