A dam collapses in eastern Sudan after heavy rainfall. Local media report dozens missing
Associated PressAug 24
Sudan: Dam Burst Kills Scores, Destroys 50K Homes
Above: The Setit Dam in El Girba, Sudan. Image copyright: Abdulmonam Eassa/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Facts
According to Sudanese media, at least 60 people have been killed and more than 50K homes destroyed following the collapse of the Arbaat Dam in Sudan's northeast Red Sea State over the weekend.
Though search and rescue operations are underway, the UN said that the death toll was likely to be much higher as the dam burst damaged 50 villages and washed away a further 20 downstream. Between 150 and 200 people are reportedly missing.
The Spin
Narrative A
Sudan is one of the most climate-vulnerable countries in the world, grappling with extreme weather conditions — including heavier-than-usual rainfall, severe and intermittent torrential flooding, and devastating droughts — which have devastated the country's ecosystems and added to the worsening humanitarian crisis brought on by war. The international community must help the Sudanese people adapt to the climate change-induced challenges, particularly in water resources, health, coastal zones, and energy.
Narrative B
Bad, authoritarian leaders use the climate crisis as a scapegoat. It's not the country's daunting ecology but its civil war that has wrecked civilian infrastructure, battered its healthcare system, brought mass displacement, pushed millions into starvation, and caused widespread disease outbreaks. This dam collapsed because both warring parties routed their resources into the conflict instead of investing in its periodic maintenance. Sudan must return to normalcy, or such catastrophic incidents will become routine.
Metaculus Prediction
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