Ukrainian Peace Summit Opens the Door to Moscow

Ukrainian Peace Summit Opens the Door to Moscow
Above: A view of the tower of the Kremlin and skyscrapers May 21, 2024 in Moscow, Russia. Image copyright: Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

While the summit aims to lay the groundwork for the involvement of representatives of Russia down the line, such steps can only be taken on the basis of the Ukrainian Peace Formula. However, Moscow has failed to accept that framework.

Pro-Russia narrative

It's clear to most countries that peace talks in the Russia-Ukraine war without Russian involvement seem like an exercise in the trivial. Such talks of peace can only progress when Russian and Ukrainian diplomats sit at the same negotiating table.

Metaculus Prediction



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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