US Lawmakers Propose $78B Child, Business Tax Credit Bill

US Lawmakers Propose $78B Child, Business Tax Credit Bill
Image copyright: Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images for Economic Security Project via Getty Images

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

All too often, American politicians have introduced bills to create or expand the so-called "refundable tax credits," which they have falsely marketed as tax cuts despite effectively representing new direct expenditure because checks exceed taxes paid. As the national debt has already toppled $34B, the US should rein in public spending to reduce the burden on taxpayers instead of expanding federal benefits.

Pro-establishment narrative

Though the US has been in a precarious fiscal situation, adding up to $100B to the budget deficit to reduce poverty and boost the economy makes perfect economic sense. Child poverty costs the US economy over $1T, as it slashes productivity and increases both health care costs and crime, while the gross domestic product could fall by up to $325B per year without the proposed business tax deductions.

Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!