US troops will complete their withdrawal from Niger by mid-September, the Pentagon says
CBSMAY 31 2024
US Set to Withdraw Troops From Niger by September
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The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
The forced withdrawal of US troops from Niger, and the failed negotiations on a new military treaty, will deal a serious blow to joint counterterrorism efforts. While bilateral ties are in tatters since mutinous soldiers overthrew the democratically-elected president, jihadist attacks have increased, and cooperation with Russia will make little difference. Despite this, Washington will maintain its partnership with Niger for the benefit of its people and the region.
Establishment-critical narrative
That the US will withdraw from Niger is another indication of the West's waning grip on Africa. It's laughable for Washington to claim that the US is concerned about democracy in Niger while US-trained officers led the coup. As a sovereign state, Niger decides for itself whom to enter new alliances with, especially after France and the US failed to curb Islamist terror in the country. Washington lacks foresight and a viable strategy, and Russia is skillfully filling this vacuum.
Metaculus Prediction
Establishment split
CRITICAL
PRO
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