The U.S. Should Fully Withdraw From Iraq
TimeOCT 1 2024
US to End Anti-IS Group Operation in Iraq
Above: Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani (R) and US Major General Joel Vowell discuss the future of American and other foreign troops in Iraq in Baghdad on Jan. 27, 2024. Image copyright: AP/Hadi Mizban/Pool/Contributor/Anadolu via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
This is a move in the right direction now that the threat of IS in Iraq has successfully been contained. The just-announced orderly transition into an enduring bilateral strategic partnership opens a new era in US-Iraq relations, one that will go beyond security. Given the current instability in the Middle East, maintaining positive ties with Baghdad is crucial to US interests.
Narrative B
This transition plan would be great news if the mission were indeed accomplished. The mission is not complete, however, and leaving Iraq, as things stand, could have disastrous consequences. Such a premature departure would send a message of weakness that is likely to encourage Iran and catalyze the resurgence of the so-called Islamic State group, worsening the Middle East crisis.
Narrative C
As usual, the national security establishment is fearmongering about a potential US withdrawal — even if it will be no withdrawal at all, but a conditions-based transition that could extend the mission for years to come. US interests would be best served by not risking the lives of American troops and letting regional actors keep IS in check.