UK: Bank of England Cuts Rates, Increases Inflation and Decreases Growth Predictions

UK: Bank of England Cuts Rates, Increases Inflation and Decreases Growth Predictions
Above: Exterior of the Bank of England, Feb. 6 2025, London, England.  Image copyright: Richard Baker/Contributor/In Pictures via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Despite widespread criticism, there are signs of optimism that often go unnoticed and a further Bank Rate cut is to be welcomed. Despite a tough budget in order to balance the books, private sector wages are rising faster than inflation, and consumer spending is poised to increase. Business investment is also set to recover, creating opportunities for growth. Labour is making tough but necessary decisions to restore the UK's economic health.

Narrative B

The UK economy is in dire straits, and Labour's approach isn't helping. With stagnant growth, inflation, and cuts to public services, Labour is mimicking the austerity policies that devastated the country under the Tories. Instead of bold economic reform, Reeves's strategy risks deepening inequality and creating long-term economic stagnation. The writing is on the wall already for the Chancellor — she must go for the country's sake before it's too late.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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