Report: Biden Admin. Discussed Iran Strike Options Before Trump Takes Office

Report: Biden Admin. Discussed Iran Strike Options Before Trump Takes Office
Above: US President Joe Biden addresses the Bourbon Street terrorist strike in New Orleans from Camp David, Maryland, on January 1, 2025. Image copyright: Chris Kleponis/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Facts

  • According to Axios, White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan presented Pres. Biden with potential options for striking Iran's nuclear facilities during a secret meeting held approximately one month ago.

  • The discussion focused on scenario planning for possible US responses if Iran moves toward developing nuclear weapons before Jan. 20, when Pres.-elect Trump takes office.

  • According to the International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran has increased uranium enrichment to 60% purity and possesses enough material to produce four nuclear bombs.

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The acceleration of Iran's nuclear program, combined with its weakened military position, presents a strategic opportunity for the Biden administration to prevent nuclear weapons development through military action while minimizing risks of regional escalation. The White House is responsibly evaluating risk.

Establishment-critical narrative

Iran maintains its nuclear program is strictly for civilian purposes, and any military action during a presidential transition period would risk handing over a fresh conflict to the incoming administration while potentially destabilizing the entire region. If this report is correct, it shows a dangerous consideration of global escalation.

Metaculus Prediction




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