Pierre Poilievre PM of Canada before 2026?
MetaculusAPR 2023
Canada: Alleged Beijing-Led WeChat Campaign Targets Carney in Election
Above: Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney speaks to members of the media before chairing a meeting of the cabinet committee on Canada-U.S. relations and national security on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, Canada on Wednesday, April 2, 2025. Image copyright: David Kawai/Bloomberg via Getty Images
The Spin
Conservative Party narrative
The Chinese government’s interference in Canadian elections continues unchecked, with the Liberals turning a blind eye to Beijing’s activities for over a decade. This recent PRC-led WeChat operation shows clear support for Mark Carney, a candidate with deep business ties to China. By ignoring these threats, the Liberals have allowed foreign influence to jeopardize election integrity and undermine Canada’s sovereignty.
Liberal Party narrative
The claims of foreign interference targeting Liberal Leader Mark Carney appear overstated. The task force found the PRC-linked campaign was confined to WeChat, with posts both positive and negative about Carney. There is no evidence to suggest the campaign will affect Canada’s ability to have a free and fair election, and the Liberal Party is working transparently with security officials to ensure its integrity.