Europe's First Private Orbital Rocket Crashes After Launch

Europe's First Private Orbital Rocket Crashes After Launch
Above: Isar Aerospace's rocket launches from Norway on March 30, 2025. Image copyright: Isar Aerospace via X

The Spin

Narrative A

Every second of flight is valuable as it allows scientists to gather data and gain experience. The test launch achieved its primary objectives by providing valuable flight data and validating critical systems, including the Flight Termination System, during its 30 seconds of powered flight. This is a significant milestone for European space capabilities.

Narrative B

Europe's space industry continues to face significant challenges in achieving independent launch capabilities, as evidenced by delays in the Ariane 6 rocket development, the suspension of the Vega-C launcher, and now this failed test flight. It's clear the continent is struggling to compete with established players like SpaceX and Blue Origin.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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