Iran-backed Iraqi Militias Consider Disarming Amid US Pressure

Iran-backed Iraqi Militias Consider Disarming Amid US Pressure
Above: A member of the Popular Mobilization Forces stands guard at the site where two militia members were killed in an alleged US airstrike on Jan. 4, 2024. Image copyright: Ameer Al-Mohammedawi/Contributor/picture alliance via Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-Iran narrative

Iran-backed militias undermine Iraq’s sovereignty, fuel regional instability, and threaten American and allied forces. Disarming them is key to restoring state authority, curbing Tehran’s influence, and ensuring lasting peace and security in the region.

Pro-Iran narrative

Allied fighters are vital resistance forces defending the region from U.S. occupation and Israeli aggression. These groups protect sovereignty, deter foreign domination, and represent grassroots opposition to Western interference in the Middle East.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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