Istanbul Mayor's Arrest Sparks Nationwide Protests in Turkey

Istanbul Mayor's Arrest Sparks Nationwide Protests in Turkey
Above: Protesters march during the protest against the corruption and terrorism investigation against Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality (IBB), in Ankara, Turkiye on March 21, 2025. Image copyright: Dilara Irem Sancar/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The Turkish opposition's outcry against corruption investigations is hollow. Rather than addressing substantiated allegations of tender fraud, bribery, and terrorism connections within Istanbul's municipality, the CHP deflects with baseless claims of "civil coup." Their preemptive presidential candidacy maneuvers reveal calculated political theater designed to shield Mayor İmamoğlu from investigation.

Narrative B

In a brazen display of authoritarianism, President Erdogan’s regime has once again wielded Turkey’s judiciary as a political weapon, orchestrating the arrest of Istanbul’s mayor, Ekrem Imamoglu. The move, aimed at crushing opposition ahead of looming elections, signals a grim turn for Turkey’s democracy — where political rivalry is met not with debate, but with repression.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


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