Japan-Philippines Forge Defense Pact Amid China Tensions

Japan-Philippines Forge Defense Pact Amid China Tensions
Above: After their bilateral meeting at a Manila hotel on Feb. 24, 2025, Philippines Secretary of National Defense Gilberto Teodoro (R) shakes hands with Japan's Defense Minister Gen Nakatani at a joint news briefing. Image copyright: Ted Aljibe/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-China narrative

The security situation in the Indo-Pacific region has become increasingly serious due to China's reckless military actions — necessitating stronger defense cooperation among strategic partners to maintain regional stability and counter unilateral attempts to reshape the international order through force.

Pro-China narrative

The strengthening of defense cooperation between Tokyo and Manila represents mutual exploitation, with the Philippines attempting to complicate the South China Sea issue while Japan seeks to align with the US Indo-Pacific strategy and break free from its constitutional restraints.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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