Labor Leads Polls as Australian Election Enters Final Days

Labor Leads Polls as Australian Election Enters Final Days
Above: Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese shakes hands with Opposition Leader Peter Dutton on April 27, 2025 in Sydney, Australia. Image copyright: Dan Peled/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Liberal/National Coalition narrative

Despite being widely viewed as Australia's weakest leader in decades, a thoroughly uninspiring Anthony Albanese might ride to victory solely on the tidal wave of anti-Trump sentiment sweeping democratic nations. Just as Canada's lackluster Liberals triumphed, Labor will prevail not through merit but through fierce public rejection of Trump's bullying politics contaminating right-wing parties worldwide.

Australian Labor Party narrative

Resolute, steady, and sharpened by a turbulent first term, Anthony Albanese now towers as the only leader equipped to anchor Australia through uncertain times. In contrast to chaos, he offers calm. While Peter Dutton flounders in a fog of confusion and policy collapse, Albanese stands poised to win again — not by chance, but by clear purpose, preparation, and principled leadership.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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