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Canadian Election: Liberals Hold Narrowing Lead as Campaign Enters Final Week

  • #Canada
  • #Politics
Canadian Election: Liberals Hold Narrowing Lead as Campaign Enters Final Week
story
APR 22
Above: People arrive at a polling station to cast their ballots on the last day of advance voting for the upcoming federal election in Toronto, Ontario on April 21, 2025. Image copyright: Mert Alper Dervis/Anadolu via Getty Images
story last updated APR 28

The Spin

Narrative A

The Liberals have successfully positioned themselves as the party best equipped to handle U.S. trade tensions and protect Canadian sovereignty, while maintaining economic stability and delivering on social programs. Their steady leadership under Carney has resonated with centrist voters who seek experienced management during uncertain times.

National PostABC

Narrative B

The Conservative message on affordability and economic management is gaining traction as Canadians struggle with rising costs. Poilievre's consistent focus on domestic issues and fiscal responsibility offers a clear alternative to continued Liberal spending, with momentum building among working-class voters and those under 50.

AngusreidEKOS Politics

Narrative C

Despite Poilievre’s strong economic message and loyal base, the Conservative Party is struggling to expand its support. Voters agree on issues but are unconvinced Poilievre can deliver. With less than a week to go until election day, the Conservatives face challenges in convincing undecided voters, leaving the door open for Carney’s Liberals to maintain their lead.

Abacusdata

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures

Mark Carney

Pierre Poilievre


The Controversies


AXE THE TAXKEEP THE TAX
Status:Open
Canadian Election: Where Do Candidates Stand on the Carbon Tax?
Controversy
APR 28APR 28

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