Canada: Liberals Win Quebec Riding by Single Vote in Recount

Canada: Liberals Win Quebec Riding by Single Vote in Recount
Above: Mark Carney, Canada's prime minister, during a news conference in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, on May 2, 2025. Image copyright: David Kawai/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The Liberal victory in Terrebonne represents a significant breakthrough in traditional Bloc territory and signals growing support for federal unity. The razor-thin margin demonstrates that every vote counts and validates the party's strategy of offering a fresh alternative to separatist politics. This win strengthens the Liberal government's position in dealing with international challenges, particularly regarding U.S. relations.

Narrative B

This recount shows that in spite of the resurgent popularity of the Liberals, there is still a deep divide present in Canadian politics, as this narrow margin suggests. More concerningly, there is a seeming decline in standards at Elections Canada, as this election was rife with technical errors and confusion, which need to be resolved before the next election.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies




© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.2

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.2