Peru Declares State of Emergency in Lima Amid Surge of Gang Violence

Peru Declares State of Emergency in Lima Amid Surge of Gang Violence
Above: Peruvian Pres. Dina Boluarte giving statements at the Government Palace during the visit of Venezuela's opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia on Jan. 29, 2025. Image copyright: Carlos Garcia Granthon/Fotoholica Press/LightRocket via Getty Images

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

Transnational organized crime has caused violence to skyrocket in Peru and other countries in Latin America, and traditional law enforcement approaches have proven insufficient against criminal networks. Beyond declaring a state of emergency, Peru must adopt the successful hardline model of El Salvador's Nayib Bukele to tackle gang violence.

Pro-establishment narrative

Just months after declaring a months-long state of emergency, the Peruvian government has resorted again to the measure that serves only to its own political and media interests. And Peru is no exception in Latin America, as states of emergency have been all too often decreed despite consistently failing to deliver lasting significant results.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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