Saudi Arabia Announces Plans to Enrich and Sell Uranium

Saudi Arabia Announces Plans to Enrich and Sell Uranium
Above: Saudi Arabia's Minister of Energy, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman Al-Saud, attends the session held as part of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) in St. Petersburg, Russia, on June 6, 2024. Image copyright: Sefa Karacan/Contributor/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

Saudi Arabia's pursuit of nuclear energy is a pragmatic response to global geopolitical and economic dynamics. With Western reluctance to provide full nuclear technology and Iran's enrichment advances, Riyadh must find autonomy in energy and security. With the US mainly out of the picture, a partnership with China leverages alternative expertise while diversifying alliances, ensuring Saudi sovereignty, and bolstering its role as a regional leader.

Narrative B

Allowing Saudi Arabia to enrich uranium risks a regional arms race in the volatile Middle East, where Iran and Israel already possess nuclear capabilities. Risks are exacerbated by Saudi Arabia's refusal to adopt strict IAEA safeguards, raising transparency concerns. For these reasons, the US must enforce nonproliferation standards and bar enrichment and reprocessing to prevent instability and uphold global security.

Metaculus Prediction



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