Tesla Launches in Saudi Arabia

Tesla Launches in Saudi Arabia
Above: People check out a car on display during Tesla's official launch ceremony in Riyadh, on April 10, 2025. Image copyright: Fayez Nureldine/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The Saudi market represents a massive opportunity for Tesla's expansion, with strong government backing for EV adoption and a clear path to establish a long-term presence in the region's largest automotive market, while benefiting from improved diplomatic relations between Musk and Saudi leadership.

Narrative B

The challenging environment of extreme desert heat, limited charging infrastructure, and deeply entrenched preference for gas-powered vehicles in a country with cheap fuel prices creates significant obstacles for Tesla's success in Saudi Arabia, particularly for long-distance travel needs.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



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