UK: Channel Crossings Increase 25% in 2024, Second Highest on Record

UK: Channel Crossings Increase 25% in 2024, Second Highest on Record
Above: A group of people thought to be migrants are brought to Dover, Kent, on board the RNLI Dungeness Lifeboat following a small boat incident in the English Channel on Sept. 3, 2024.  Image copyright: Gareth Fuller/Contributor/PA Images via Getty Images

The Spin


Left narrative

Labour's plan to end dangerous small boat crossings is a vital step toward saving lives and securing UK borders. Its commitment to dismantling smuggling networks shows strong leadership, but Labour also recognizes the need for safe, legal routes, such as refugee visas and family reunification, to offer humane alternatives. This balanced approach not only protects vulnerable people but also demonstrates Labour's ability to combine compassion with effective governance.


Right narrative

Labour's approach to small boat crossings falls short, focusing on smugglers while ignoring the root causes driving migrants to risk these journeys. Despite bold promises, illegal arrivals have surged, exposing a failure to deliver results. By rejecting deterrents like the Rwanda plan without alternatives, Labour has created a system that actually encourages more crossings. This strains resources and leaves the problem unresolved.


Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


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