UK: Starmer Calls for UK to 'Keep a Cool Head' Following Trump Tariffs

UK: Starmer Calls for UK to 'Keep a Cool Head' Following Trump Tariffs
Above: U.K. Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer chairs a roundtable with business leaders at Downing Street on April 3, 2025 in London, England. Image copyright: Ben Stansall/WPA Pool/Getty Images via Getty Images

The Spin

Left narrative

Trump’s tariffs spell trouble for the U.K. amid a legacy of woes following Brexit. A 10% levy, though not as severe as that faced by some nations, is still significant, and U.K. car exports face a devastating 25% hit. Outside the EU, we’ve lost collective bargaining power and face global trade shocks. Reintegrating with Europe is now the only way to secure Britain's economic future.

Right narrative

Brexit has given the U.K. a crucial advantage in navigating Trump’s global tariffs. While the EU faces a 20% levy, the UK’s 10% rate makes British goods more competitive in America. Freed from Brussels’ trade policy, Britain can avoid a retaliatory tariff war and negotiate better terms. With closer U.S.-U.K. ties, lower tariffs, and a potential trade deal ahead, Brexit’s economic benefits are becoming clear.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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