Mexico Transfers 37 Cartel Members to U.S. Custody

Should the U.S. strike Mexican cartels militarily, or is cooperation with Mexico's government more effective against drug trafficking?
Mexico Transfers 37 Cartel Members to U.S. Custody
Above: A screen displays 26 people extradited to the U.S. on drug trafficking in Mexico City, on Aug. 13, 2025. Image credit: Fred Ramos/Bloomberg/Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-Trump narrative

Mexican cartels have evolved into a fragmented network of roughly 400 groups operating like multinational corporations with deep political and economic roots, making military strikes ineffective and potentially catastrophic. Targeting kingpins has repeatedly failed to stop drug flows and instead sparked deadly internal wars, as seen when El Mayo Zambada's capture ignited violence, leaving thousands dead in Sinaloa. Any unilateral U.S. intervention risks massive civilian casualties, destabilizing a crucial trade partner while cartels retaliate through their extensive networks already embedded across American cities.

Pro-Trump narrative

Mexico's aggressive cooperation with the U.S. — transferring 92 high-impact cartel operatives, deploying thousands of troops to the border and destroying drug labs — proves Sheinbaum is delivering results without risking sovereignty. The successful Venezuela operation demonstrates that decisive military action works, and with cartels literally running Mexico and fentanyl killing more Americans than all post-WWII wars combined, the U.S. must maintain pressure. Bilateral cooperation at historic highs shows this strategy forces Mexico to act while preserving the vital trade relationship.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies




© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.20.2

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.20.2