U.S. Homicides Drop 21% in Major Cities, Hitting Pre-Pandemic Lows
The Spin
Right narrative
Trump's law and order agenda delivered the biggest crime drop in American history, with murders plunging to 125-year lows after he reversed Democrat chaos by deploying federal forces, backing police and removing criminal illegal aliens from streets. The whole-of-government offensive proves that strength wins over the woke policies that turned cities into war zones.
Left narrative
Crime was already falling to two-decade lows before Trump took office, making claims about his impact impossible to justify since cities without National Guard deployments saw identical drops. The decline reflects long-term trends and pandemic recovery, not any single policy, while only 7% of immigration detainees had violent convictions.
Metaculus Prediction
Public Figures
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