Narrative A

The judges bear witness to what is wrong with Pakistan and its democracy. The military and its intelligence services conspired with the US to have Imran Khan wrongfully dismissed from power because he refused to act as their puppet. They then fabricated allegations and pressed the courts to imprison him to guarantee he never again represented the will of the people. Will the Pakistani people stand by as the military steals what's left of Pakistan's democracy?

Narrative B

The army neither interferes in judicial affairs nor uses intimidatory tactics to coerce the judges. Khan, who used his position to undermine democracy, attempted to dissolve parliament to avoid a no-confidence vote, which led to his removal. He is currently using his position to push Pakistan towards civil war. The government and the judiciary must exercise caution to prevent the current political turmoil from escalating further.

Nerd narrative

There's a 40% chance Pakistan will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-China narrative

The findings are impressive evidence that the era of US hegemony is finally ending. People now know that China is the region's most influential economic and geopolitical power and trust that Beijing's relations with ASEAN countries will continue to improve. Meanwhile, there's widespread concern about the US' growing strategic and political regional footprint. The world has entered an era of multipolarity, and China will continue to be a driving force behind this trend.

Anti-China narrative

The results are not as clear-cut as the headlines suggest. Rather, they indicate a lack of unified preference for China over the US in the notoriously divided ASEAN bloc. While Beijing's economic influence is growing, many countries fear its expansionist ambitions and are tightening their US defense ties. China's growing influence is acknowledged but doesn't translate into approval, and as a trusted partner, Washington is ready to support the region in bolstering its internal resilience.

Nerd narrative

There's a 10% chance that there will be a US-China war before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Right narrative

This release further reasserts that the Brazilian Supreme Court, and specifically de Moraes, poses a significant threat to the country's democracy amid a crackdown on free speech unseen since the 1988 Constitution came into effect. It's outrageous that the judiciary has consistently silenced dissent without due process.

Left narrative

Yet again, Musk's Twitter Files promote far-right allegations as if they're the objective truth — and as if freedom of speech was an absolute right worldwide. Tweets must have consequences, especially when extremists undermine the democratic order, so de Moraes' actions made him a democracy crusader — not a tyrant.

Nerd narrative

There's a 12% chance that Brazil will experience a successful coup d'etat before Jan. 1, 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Left narrative

After several visits to the Darien Gap and interviews with migrants and government officials, HRW has revealed the extent of the horrors those on their way to a better life have to face in Darien Gap. No matter their reason for making this trek, it's the duty of Panama and Colombia to provide them with basic necessities like food, water, and healthcare. Allowing violent smugglers to bring migrants through the jungle is neither efficient nor moral.

Right narrative

All the humanitarian rhetoric coming from governments and NGOs is a facade to hide their true goal — encouraging as many illegal immigrants as possible to reach the US border. It seems that the US has sent hundreds of millions of dollars to Panama and Colombia not to help stop these waves of migrants — who are coming from as near as Haiti and as far as China — but to help those governments guide these illegal convoys more efficiently on their way to the US.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the rate of immigration enforcement in the US in 2024, as a percentage of removals to encounters, will be at least 5.8%, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

This entire story has been blown out of proportion because an unnecessarily violent raid was filmed. There have been no arrests and there's no evidence of wrongdoing. Combs' celebrity will inspire the media to keep this story alive, but this witch hunt should eventually blow over.

Narrative B

This story isn't a media creation, it's the result of decades of Combs' abuse and shady nondisclosure agreements finally coming to light. After years of not facing the music, Combs' clock has finally run out and neither he nor the government will be able to sweep his crimes under the rug.

Pro-establishment narrative

Amid Ukraine's difficult battlefield situation, this is the time for NATO to up its support for Ukraine — not leave the country hanging out to dry after three years of fighting. Nonetheless, neither NATO nor Russia wants the possibility of an all-out conflict between nuclear-armed states.

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Ukraine welcomes this NATO foreign ministers' summit, particularly as Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuelba and Stoltenberg will host another meeting of the NATO-Ukraine Council. While voluntary contributions are welcome, Ukraine will seek to secure firmer and more long-term commitments as well.

Pro-Russia narrative

Throughout this conflict, and to the present day, Russia has only sought to protect its people, its future, and its sovereignty. Russia was forced to protect its interests in a weaponized way. Take for instance the heinous Crocus City Hall attack in Moscow last month. Its perpetrators, regardless of who their backers may be, want nothing more than to see the fall of Russia.

Establishment-critical narrative

Due to the West's collective failure of seeking to expand NATO eastwards to Russia's borders, it started this war which has only resulted in Ukraine losing vast swaths of territory, as well as untold numbers of men and women. Rather than continue this foolish tactic and cause more destruction, Ukraine needs to push for peace.

Nerd narrative

There's a 5% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

It's shocking that so few powerful corporations and multinationals are the leading drivers of the global climate crisis. The cohort continues to profit from extracting fossil fuels when it should be slowing down production. This report's findings will allow international institutions to hold the culprits accountable for climate damages.

Narrative B

This report is sensationalizing a picture that could change in the future. Companies worldwide have been taking voluntary action to meet net zero emissions targets and invest in renewable energy, including the world's biggest oil and gas producers agreeing to cut methane emissions from their wells and drilling by more than 80% by 2030. This is all happening despite the debate on climate change not being settled.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that at least 80.8% of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-establishment narrative

Israel's war against Hamas is surely just, given the atrocities the group committed during its Oct. 7 attack. However, the Biden administration is losing its patience with Netanyahu's intransigence. Israel must take into account the innocent civilians in Gaza who are trapped between the country's military machine and Hamas's terrorist fighters, as Israel risks pushing Palestinians into Hamas' hands if it does not work to ensure their safety.

Pro-Israel narrative

Though this has been a tragic war, Israel must eliminate Hamas and restore deterrence with Iran and its proxy Hezbollah. Hamas's military capabilities and infrastructure must be eliminated to ensure Israel's security. To eliminate this capacity for terror, Israel has been forced to use blunt tools to route Hamas forces, as they are so deeply dug into Gaza's civil infrastructure. The international community consistently parrots Hamas propaganda, as Israel worked from the get-go to deliver aid to Gaza and find a solution to end this war.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Israel continues to demonstrate that its war is not against Hamas but against the Palestinian people as a whole. There already is more than enough evidence to suggest that Israeli forces have consistently targeted civilians, even foreign citizens, in the country's campaign to starve the people of Gaza into submission. Though the US, Israel's biggest ally, likes to wax about civilian casualties, it must instead exert more pressure to end this war for good.

Nerd narrative

There's a 70% chance that Israel will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on Jan. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Republican narrative

The revelations from these testimonies have already exposed Biden's failures, but it's important to note that these witnesses were approved by the White House to speak to the committee. Biden put completely inexperienced State Department personnel in charge of an incredibly fragile situation — imagine what revelations would emerge if the committee was allowed to enquire about the people Biden has not approved to speak.

Democratic narrative

Recent reports have certainly cast a shadow over the Biden State Department, but it's important to remember that the plans for a troop withdrawal were established under the Trump administration. In 2020, before Biden took office, Trump made a deal with the Taliban that led to the eventual confusion during the 2021 withdrawal. This was a terrible tragedy for America, but to blame the Biden administration that was forced between a rock and a hard place is unfair.

Nerd narrative

There's a 46% chance that Taliban-controlled Afghanistan will be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism by 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Narrative A

Parson should grant Dorsey clemency. Prison workers, and even the judge who upheld his death sentence, are unified in their belief that Dorsey was failed by the justice system. Dorsey has been a model citizen for the past 18 years, and he shouldn't die because he wasn't allowed proper counsel.

Narrative B

This outpouring of support for Dorsey is turning him from a cold-blooded murderer into a victim, but Parson can't let it affect him. No one is questioning whether Dorsey committed these heinous crimes and his conviction has been upheld multiple times. Dorsey must be punished for what he did.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that capital punishment will be legal in at least 39% of US states in 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.